There’s so much wrong with the recent trade agreement between the US and the UK that it’s difficult to know where to start. First, it’s not a trade deal as it does not reduce tariffs or set the terms for trade between the two countries; instead, it is an agreement about a potential deal. But …
Interest rates can be cut now
One of the oddities about the narrative on the direction of interest rates is the argument that, because consumer price inflation is still above the 2% target, the Bank of England cannot cut interest rates. That suggests that interest rate policy changes immediately impact the current inflation rate in the short term. However, this view …
Another turbulent year looms – but so do opportunities
Last year was turbulent for the world economy, and this one may be no different. The Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 had its full effect in 2023, reducing real incomes by pushing inflation up, particularly for food and energy. In addition, interest rate increases, put in place to fight the sharp rise in inflation, …
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