Economist, Visiting Professor, Lecturer, Writer, Public Speaker.
Imbalances in the financial sector or the real economy – the usual trigger for recessions – have been markedly absent from the current global economic downturn. Instead, the cause this time was a government-mandated shutdown of the economy owing to a global health crisis. The end of shutdown will see economic growth resume (as indeed …
Continue reading “Capital markets are increasingly unmoored from the real economy”
We need to talk about Brexit. July should have seen a Brexit deal ratified at the European Meeting of ministers. That did not happen. And, to state the obvious, at the time of writing, an agreement has not been made. And, with PM Johnson publicly saying that no deal would be a ‘good outcome’, the …
Since the appearance of COVID-19, there has been a massive decline in global trade. World Trade Organisation figures suggest that it could fall be about a third this year. But some context is required here. The reduction is taking place mainly due to the voluntary shutdown of the global economy to fight the Coronavirus. This …
Continue reading “Globalisation is not the cause of the pandemic”