Economist, Visiting Professor, Lecturer, Writer, Public Speaker.
One of the significant risks to global growth this year just got bigger. Last week, the US increased tariffs by 25% on $325bn worth of Chinese goods. But, in reality, it’s a tax on US consumers who have to pay it to the US government, and will therefore slow economic growth in the US. By …
Continue reading “Is the focus on tariffs on goods missing the point? Part one”
In last week’s blog I mentioned the over-valued credit markets in China as a key risk to financial market stability. This week saw Moody’s downgrading of China’s credit rating and its outlook for China changed from stable to negative. The slowing of growth Despite economic stimulus, GDP growth has fallen pretty steadily since 2010 and …