We need to talk about Brexit. July should have seen a Brexit deal ratified at the European Meeting of ministers. That did not happen. And, to state the obvious, at the time of writing, an agreement has not been made. And, with PM Johnson publicly saying that no deal would be a ‘good outcome’, the …
China – down but not out
In last week’s blog I mentioned the over-valued credit markets in China as a key risk to financial market stability. This week saw Moody’s downgrading of China’s credit rating and its outlook for China changed from stable to negative. The slowing of growth Despite economic stimulus, GDP growth has fallen pretty steadily since 2010 and …
The calm before the storm – why market buoyancy could be a false premise
Both equity and bond markets are riding high, suggesting an over-valuation in financial markets that is unsustainable over the longer-term. The equity market in the US and Europe stands at a record high, whilst the bond markets appear to be shrugging off concerns around inflation and over-leverage. The bullishness we see in both markets creates …
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