Economist, Visiting Professor, Lecturer, Writer, Public Speaker.
Friday’s mini-Budget was anything but small. It’s the biggest tax-cutting Budget since the ‘Barber’ boom Budget of 1972 or 50 years ago. Unfortunately, the parallels are not good, as that Budget did not end well. Eventually, it led to the loss of a general election by Conservative prime minister Ted Heath. Time will …
Continue reading “Mini Budget 2022: all the money is on tax cuts”
In June this year, annual UK consumer price inflation on the central banks preferred measure (CPIH) hit 2.4%, marginally above the 2% target and the highest level since the pandemic started in 2019. It was a rate last seen in August 2018. For some commentators, it was a vindication of the view that the Bank …
Continue reading “UK monetary policy to remain on hold, for now”
As Mark Carney prepares to make way for new governor Andrew Bailey, he’s voiced the suggestion that UK interest rates could be cut if the economy wobbles in early 2020. His view may be in anticipation, as some have concluded, of an economic shock resulting from the UK’s exit from the UK on 31st January. …