Economist, Visiting Professor, Lecturer, Writer, Public Speaker.
Friday’s mini-Budget was anything but small. It’s the biggest tax-cutting Budget since the ‘Barber’ boom Budget of 1972 or 50 years ago. Unfortunately, the parallels are not good, as that Budget did not end well. Eventually, it led to the loss of a general election by Conservative prime minister Ted Heath. Time will …
Continue reading “Mini Budget 2022: all the money is on tax cuts”
As the campaign to become the leader of the Conservative party and therefore Prime Minister of the UK is whittled down to the final two candidates, the economy continues to struggle. It has shown paltry growth since the crisis of 2007/8, mainly down to poor productivity. ‘Levelling up’, Brexit, none of these has changed that …
With inflation continuing to rise and central banks reacting by raising interest rates, the critical question must be how high will rates have to rise to curb inflationary pressure? To do that, we need to consider what a ‘neutral’ interest rate – one that kept prices steady – would look like, and how much higher …