Economist, Visiting Professor, Lecturer, Writer, Public Speaker.
The new Prime Minister has taken office during a historic economic, political, and social crisis for the UK and world economies. Just days ago, Russia’s president, Vladimir Putin, shut down the Nord Stream One pipeline carrying gas to Germany – and said that the pipeline would not be reopened until sanctions against Russia are removed. …
Continue reading “Cost of living crisis awaits the new Prime Minster”
As a wit once said, forecasting is extremely difficult, especially about the future. With good reason, as some events occur only once in a century. Yet, we’ve had two of those ‘black swan’ type of events in the last ten years. So, this is not attempting to forecast what will occur this year; it is …
Continue reading “A look ahead to what 2022 may bring – turbulence”
Imbalances in the financial sector or the real economy – the usual trigger for recessions – have been markedly absent from the current global economic downturn. Instead, the cause this time was a government-mandated shutdown of the economy owing to a global health crisis. The end of shutdown will see economic growth resume (as indeed …
Continue reading “Capital markets are increasingly unmoored from the real economy”