My first prediction is that I am confident that only some of the projections people make will fully capture what happens this year. One of the lessons of the last few years is that more disruptive events are occurring more frequently than before, causing more uncertainty. Some things will continue this year: technological change will continue …
Is the UK already in recession?
As the campaign to become the leader of the Conservative party and therefore Prime Minister of the UK is whittled down to the final two candidates, the economy continues to struggle. It has shown paltry growth since the crisis of 2007/8, mainly down to poor productivity. ‘Levelling up’, Brexit, none of these has changed that …
US Election – an economic perspective
The forthcoming US election is a momentous one. Many in the US argue that it is the most important US election in living memory for several reasons. Others abroad agree because who becomes President has enormous potential consequences not just for the US, but for the rest of the world. From an economic perspective, the …