In recent months, official interest rates have been cut worldwide as inflation has fallen sharply from the peak of over 9% following the end of the Pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which drove up global food and energy prices, see chart 1. Global price inflation has fallen to the rates before the Pandemic and …
How high will the UK interest rate go?
With inflation continuing to rise and central banks reacting by raising interest rates, the critical question must be how high will rates have to rise to curb inflationary pressure? To do that, we need to consider what a ‘neutral’ interest rate – one that kept prices steady – would look like, and how much higher …
New year, new governor, new rate regime?
As Mark Carney prepares to make way for new governor Andrew Bailey, he’s voiced the suggestion that UK interest rates could be cut if the economy wobbles in early 2020. His view may be in anticipation, as some have concluded, of an economic shock resulting from the UK’s exit from the UK on 31st January. …