This year’s Budget will go down as the one that brought an official end to austerity. Although some tax increases from earlier periods have still to work their way through the system, spending increases will mean a return to pre-austerity levels in the next couple of years. Indeed, Robert Chote, the outgoing head of the …
New year, new governor, new rate regime?
As Mark Carney prepares to make way for new governor Andrew Bailey, he’s voiced the suggestion that UK interest rates could be cut if the economy wobbles in early 2020. His view may be in anticipation, as some have concluded, of an economic shock resulting from the UK’s exit from the UK on 31st January. …
UK 2019 economy to be dominated by Brexit?
Well, that was an exciting year. With article 50 triggered, negotiations on the UK’s withdrawal from the EU dominated politics and consumed government energy. Negotiations were fraught, with frantic toing and froing between the UK and Europe as the deal evolved to its conclusion through 2018. But it also impacted the economy. In particular, uncertainty …
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