Economist, Visiting Professor, Lecturer, Writer, Public Speaker.
Ahead of the announcement of the third fiscal event the Labour administration has had since winning the General Election last year, let’s delve into the second budget to look at forecast errors and why they matter. A significant issue has surfaced: for the second time in a row, the chancellor is compelled to raise new …
Continue reading “Fiscal forecast errors part 1 – what’s going on?”
The UK’s fiscal position is not just precarious; it is on the brink of becoming unsustainable. With just one more crisis, like the global financial crisis and the Pandemic that we’ve experienced in the last 20 years, the situation could escalate rapidly. A return to strong growth would reduce this risk but will be a …
Continue reading “UK fiscal position: one event away from crisis”
The spending review is a forward-looking process by which the government sets departmental budgets for future years, including for key sectors such as the NHS, Education, Defence and Transport. It also determines the government’s day-to-day running administration costs and capital spending for investments in public services and military equipment. This process sets day-to-day expenditures for …
Continue reading “UK Spending Review 2025 – up against the limits”