In recent months, official interest rates have been cut worldwide as inflation has fallen sharply from the peak of over 9% following the end of the Pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which drove up global food and energy prices, see chart 1. Global price inflation has fallen to the rates before the Pandemic and …
An election Budget that does not address UK challenges
It’s hard to find anything to like in the Autumn Statement delivered by Jeremy Hunt. While on the surface, the 2% cut in National Insurance contributions seems like a good idea, it looks worse the more you examine what it means and its implications. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) references to the ‘headroom’ to …
Continue reading “An election Budget that does not address UK challenges”
A look ahead to 2023
My first prediction is that I am confident that only some of the projections people make will fully capture what happens this year. One of the lessons of the last few years is that more disruptive events are occurring more frequently than before, causing more uncertainty. Some things will continue this year: technological change will continue …