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Trevor Williams

Trevor Williams

Economist, Visiting Professor, Lecturer, Writer, Public Speaker.

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Tag: economic growth

Posted on 16th June 202216th June 2022

How high will the UK interest rate go?

With inflation continuing to rise and central banks reacting by raising interest rates, the critical question must be how high will rates have to rise to curb inflationary pressure? To do that, we need to consider what a ‘neutral’ interest rate – one that kept prices steady – would look like, and how much higher …

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Posted on 3rd May 2022

Economic shocks and the tightrope to growth

Yet again, the Chancellor’s Spring Statement turned into a Spring Budget. Expectations were that the Government would intervene to alleviate the impact of higher fuel and food prices on household income. Whilst fuel duty was cut by 5p a litre for 12 months and the National Insurance threshold raised, for many, those expectations weren’t met, …

Continue reading “Economic shocks and the tightrope to growth”

Posted on 16th December 20204th February 2021

Why price inflation will remain low even with record debt

UK government debt is running at £400 billion a year or 20% of GDP. Money supply growth is rising by nearly 14% per annum and the ratio of outstanding debt GDP – 85% of the economy just last year – is set to be around 108% of GDP in the 2020/2021 financial year. Surely that’s …

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