Financial markets are betting this week that the Bank of England will not cut its key interest rates but leave them on hold at 4.75%. The market consensus from Trading Economics is that the 9-strong committee on Thursday, the 19th, will vote 8:1 to leave the UK Bank rate at 4.75%. That is despite annual …
Economic data show a turning point has been reached in the cycle
With inflation falling sharply in the US, the eurozone, and the UK, there is no longer a debate about whether the peak in interest rates has been reached. Instead, there is a consensus about rate cuts being the next move, not rate rises and about when that will happen, not if. Financial markets are now …
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Bank of England base rate on hold, but cuts could be coming sooner than it forecasts
As expected, the Bank of England left interest rates on hold at its November quarterly meeting. Three members were still calling for rate hikes of a ¼ of one per cent even though the Bank of England lowered its forecast for GDP growth in 2024 from half a per cent to zero and its forecast …