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Trevor Williams

Trevor Williams

Economist, Visiting Professor, Lecturer, Writer, Public Speaker.

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Posted on 29th July 2022

Is the UK already in recession?

As the campaign to become the leader of the Conservative party and therefore Prime Minister of the UK is whittled down to the final two candidates, the economy continues to struggle. It has shown paltry growth since the crisis of 2007/8, mainly down to poor productivity. ‘Levelling up’, Brexit, none of these has changed that …

Continue reading “Is the UK already in recession?”

Posted on 7th July 202211th July 2022

Why the UK current account deficit matters

What do Russian oligarchs, the selling of UK companies to foreign investors and the slide in the pound all have in common? The answer is they all help to fund the UK’s growing current account deficit. And it is indeed widening. In Q1 2022, the UK’s trade deficit was £33.4bn, and the current account deficit …

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Posted on 16th June 202216th June 2022

How high will the UK interest rate go?

With inflation continuing to rise and central banks reacting by raising interest rates, the critical question must be how high will rates have to rise to curb inflationary pressure? To do that, we need to consider what a ‘neutral’ interest rate – one that kept prices steady – would look like, and how much higher …

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Recent Posts

  • Is the UK already in recession?
  • Why the UK current account deficit matters
  • How high will the UK interest rate go?
  • Economic shocks and the tightrope to growth
  • An election Budget?

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